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Center for Public Opinion Polls

Feb. 21: Sanders leads the field in California by 8 points; Warren in 2nd place

Election 2020 graphic with outline of state imposed on background image of capital building

UMass Lowell Center for Public Opinion conducted a survey Feb. 12-20, 2020 of 450 California Democratic Primary likely voters. 

Topline (pdf) 

Highlights (pdf)

emptyMethodology (pdf)

Press Release

Key Findings

  • Bernie Sanders has a lead over Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, with 24% of California likely primary Democratic voters while Warren comes in second at 16%.  Close behind is former Vice President Joe Biden at 13%, followed by former mayors Pete Buttigieg and Michael Bloomberg, who are both at 12%.
  • Both Sanders and Warren do well among young voters. For Sanders, 31% of the vote from those under 45, compared to 20% of those 45 and older. Warren gets 22% of the under 45 vote, but only 12% of the 45 and over vote. Biden has more balanced support with 15% of 18-44 year-olds and 13% of those 45 and over.  
  • Sanders leads in the Golden State because of strong support from Latinos (32%) compared to Warren (16%) and Biden (15%).  Among white voters, however, Sanders leads by only 3 points, 21% to Warren’s 18%. 

Feb. 21: Sanders, Warren Neck-and-Neck, as well as Kennedy, Markey

Election 2020 graphic with outline of state imposed on background image of capital building

UMass Lowell Center for Public Opinion conducted a survey Feb. 12-19, 2020 of 450 Massachusetts Democratic Primary likely voters. 

Topline (pdf) 

Highlights (pdf) 

Methodology (pdf)

Press Release

Key Findings

  • Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders (21%) and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren (20%) are locked in a neck-and-neck race for delegates in the Bay State.  
  • With the election less than two weeks away, overall, nearly four in 10 voters (39%) said they could still change their mind. 
  • In the race for U.S. Senate in Massachusetts, we find another close race. U.S. Rep. Joe Kennedy III has the support of 35% of likely voters, while incumbent Sen. Ed Markey has the support of 34% of likely voters while 23% are undecided and 8% say they are likely to support another candidate.
  • Gov. Charlie Baker’s approval rating among Democratic primary likely voters is 72%, demonstrating that the Republican governor has continued his reputation as one America’s most popular governors who enjoys broad bipartisan support.   

Feb. 20: Klobuchar ahead of Sanders by 6 in her home state of Minnesota

Election 2020 graphic with outline of state imposed on background image of capital building

UMass Lowell Center for Public Opinion conducted a survey Feb. 12-19, 2020 of 450 Minnesota Democratic Primary likely voters. 

Topline (pdf) 

Highlights (pdf)

Methodology (pdf)

Press Release

Key Findings

  • Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar has an apparent lead in her home state over her closest rival, Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont. 
  • The biggest dynamic in the race can be seen by age.  Klobuchar leads among those 45 and older with 30% of the vote but is taking only 17% of the 18-44 year old vote. Predictably, the youth vote continues to propel Sanders.

Feb. 20: Sanders is up 3 points with Biden in second place in Texas, Bloomberg in third

Election 2020 graphic with outline of state imposed on background image of capital building

UMass Lowell Center for Public Opinion conducted a survey Feb. 12-18, 2020 of 600 Texas Democratic Primary likely voters. 

Topline (pdf) 

Highlights (pdf)

Methodology (pdf)

Press Release

Key Findings

  • Bernie Sanders leads former Vice President Joe Biden with Sanders receiving the support of 23% of Texas likely primary Democratic voters while Biden comes in second at 20%. Close behind is businessman Michael Bloomberg at 18%, who has bombarded the airwaves with nearly half a billion dollars in ad buys. 
  • Among Black voters who intend to vote in the Democratic primary in Texas, Biden leads with 42% of the vote compared to just 23% for Sanders and 16% for Bloomberg. Biden also leads among Latinos at 24%.
  • About one third of Texans polled (33%) say they could still change their minds compared to 67% who are firm in their support of their chosen candidate.  

Feb. 20: Sanders is up 4 points with Bloomberg in second place in N.C., Biden in third

Election 2020 graphic with outline of state imposed on background image of capital building

UMass Lowell Center for Public Opinion conducted a survey Feb. 12-18, 2020 of 450 North Carolina Democratic Primary likely voters. 

Topline (pdf) 

Highlights (pdf)

Methodology (pdf)

Press Release

Key Findings

  • Bernie Sanders leads his closest competitor, former New York Mayor and billionaire Michael Bloomberg, who has bombarded the Tar Heel State with nearly half a billion dollars in advertising, 23% to 19%.
  • Close behind, but outside the poll’s margin of error is former Vice President Joe Biden at 16%, Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 13%, former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 10%, and Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar at 7%.
  • Sanders now leads among Black voters, taking 30% of the vote, compared to Biden and Bloomberg who are both at 19%.  

Feb. 19: Biden up by 2 on Sanders as close race emerges in South Carolina

Election 2020 graphic with outline of state imposed on background image of capital building

UMass Lowell Center for Public Opinion conducted a survey Feb. 12-18, 2020 of 400 South Carolina Democratic Primary likely voters. 

Topline (pdf) 

Highlights (pdf)

Methodology (pdf)

Press Release

Key Findings

  • In a new poll in South Carolina, former Vice President Joe Biden, coming off disappointing 4th and 5th place finishes in Iowa and New Hampshire still sits atop the race for delegates in South Carolina at 23%.  Closely trailing Biden by only 2 points is Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont.
  • Behind the frontrunners are businessman and activist Tom Steyer polling at 13%, South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 11%, and Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren at 11%. 
  • Biden is bolstered by African-American voters, who support him over Sanders by 23 points, 43% to 20%. Among white voters, however, Sanders leads with 23% of the vote, Buttigieg is at 16%, Klobuchar 15%, Warren 14% and Biden is at 11%. 

Feb. 10: Sanders Leads with Buttigieg Surging While Biden, Warren Falling

Election 2020 graphic with outline of state imposed on background image of capital building

UMass Lowell Center for Public Opinion conducted a survey Feb. 4-7, 2020 of 440 New Hampshire Democratic Primary likely voters. 

Topline (pdf) 

Highlights (pdf)

Methodology (pdf)

Press Release

Key Findings

  • With just one day left until the the New Hampshire Democratic primary, U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders is leading by eight points, with the support of 25 percent of likely voters in the Democratic primary. 
  • Mayor Pete Buttigieg has vaulted past former Vice President Joe Biden and U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren into second place, with 17 percent, up five points since a week ago. 
  • U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar, who was tied last week with businessman Tom Steyer, has climbed two points to 8 percent to hold fifth place on her own. 

Feb. 3: New Hampshire Democratic Primary Wide Open

Election 2020 graphic with outline of state imposed on background image of capital building

UMass Lowell Center for Public Opinion conducted a survey Jan. 28-31, 2020 of 400 New Hampshire Democratic Primary likely voters.

Topline (pdf)

Highlights (pdf)

Methodology (pdf)

Press Release

Key Findings

  • With just eight days to go until the 2020 first-in-the-nation Granite State primary, Sanders is on top, garnering the support of 23 percent of New Hampshire Democratic primary likely voters. However, his closest rival, former Vice President Joe Biden, trails him by only 1 point at 22 percent, and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren trails by just 4 points at 19 percent.  All three candidates are within the poll’s margin of error, suggesting that this race is too close to call.   
  • Nearly four in ten voters (39 percent) said they could still change their mind, which highlights the fluidity of this race and the reputed independence of the New Hampshire electorate. 
  • In response to the tongue-in-cheek question of whether NH Democratic primary voters would prefer that Donald Trump win re-election in 2020 or that a giant meteor strike the earth and extinguish all human life, 62 percent preferred the meteor to Trump’s reelection.