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2020 Texas Likely Voters

Sept. 29: Trump leads Biden by 3 in Close Texas Race

Election 2020 graphic with outline of state imposed on background image of capital building

UMass Lowell Center for Public Opinion conducted a survey Sept. 18-25, 2020 of 882 Texas likely voters. 

Topline (pdf) 

Highlights (pdf)

Methodology (pdf)

Press Release 

Key Findings

  • Biden is winning 95% of Democrats, while Trump is winning 93% of Republicans. However, among pure Independents, 43% are for Biden compared to 39% for Trump. 
  • While men are more likely to vote for Trump (52% Trump, 42% Biden), Trump is polling nearly even with Biden among women in Texas (49% Biden, 47% Trump).
  • In a closely watched U.S. Senate race in Texas, Republican incumbent Sen. John Cornyn leads Democratic challenger MJ Hegar, 50% to 40% with 1% of likely voters saying they will vote for another candidate and 9% of voters undecided.