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2020 NC Likely Voters

Sept. 29: Trump and Biden tied in North Carolina

Election 2020 graphic with outline of state imposed on background image of capital building

UMass Lowell Center for Public Opinion conducted a survey Sept. 18-25, 2020 of 921 North Carolina likely voters. 

Topline (pdf) 

Highlights (pdf)

Methodology (pdf)

Press Release

Key Findings

  • Biden wins the support of 92% of Democratic voters in North Carolina, while Trump wins the support of 91% of Republicans. The two candidates are splitting pure Independents nearly evenly, with 42% supporting Trump, 40% supporting Biden, 11% supporting another candidate, and 7% undecided.
  • White voters in North Carolina support Trump, 57% to 39%, while Black voters overwhelmingly support Biden, 75% to 16%.  
  • Women supported Biden 51% to 44%, and men supported Trump 51% to 43%. Young voters strongly back Biden, with those under 45 indicating they will vote for Biden at 52% compared to 36% for Trump, while those over 45 support Trump at 54% to 45% for Biden. 
  • In the race for U.S. Senate in North Carolina, incumbent Republican Sen. Thom Tillis has found himself in a difficult race against Democratic challenger Cal Cunningham, a decorated military officer in the Army Reserves and former state senator. The race is in the national spotlight as it is a possible flip for Democrats, who need to gain four seats to regain control of the chamber.