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Paul Tracy

Paul Tracy
Paul E TracyProfessor
  • CollegeCollege of Fine Arts, Humanities and Social Sciences
  • DepartmentSchool of Criminology and Justice Studies
  • Phone(978) 934-4000
  • EmailPaul_Tracy@uml.edu

Research Interests

Dr. Tracy’s research interests focus on the measurement and analysis of juvenile delinquencycareers, legal and policyissues in juvenile justice, prediction models of criminal careers, and drug prohibition policy. He is a recognized expert in the application of longitudinal research designs to the study of delinquent and criminal careers. His study of a large Philadelphia birth cohort of 27,160 people is the largest study of delinquency and crime ever conducted and is now in its 32nd year. Through his research he has developed particular expertise in studying the origins of criminal careers and the factors associated with becoming a chronic recidivist. Dr. Tracy has published seven books and numerous articles in criminology journals. 

Education

  • Ph D: Sociology, (1978), University of Pennsylvania - Pennsylvania
    Supporting Area: Criminiology and Methodology
  • BA: Sociology, (1972), Rhode Island College - Providence, RI
  • Other: Sociology, (1972), Rhode Island College - Rhode Island

Awards and Honors

  • Distinguished Teaching Award, Teaching - Northeastern University
  • Distinguished Teaching Award, Teaching - University of Pennsylvania
  • Chancellor's Outstanding Teaching Award (2004), Teaching - University of Texas Systems
  • President's Award (2003), Scholarship/Research - Western Society of Criminiology
  • Who's Who in American Colleges and Universities (2002), Leadership - Who's Who in American Colleges and Universities
  • Social Science Teaching Award (1996), Teaching - University of Texas-Dallas
  • The Mark and Ira Lipman Award (1979), Scholarship/Research - University of Pennsylvania
  • The Finnegan Prize in Criminology (1975), Scholarship/Research - University of Pennsylvania

Publications

  • Carkin, D.M., Tracy, P.E. (2015) "Moffitt Revisited: Delinquent and Criminal Career Paths in the 1958 Philadelphia Birth Cohort," Journal of Law and Criminal Justice 3:1 pp. 14-39
  • Carkin, D.M., Tracy, P.E. (2015) "Adjusting for unit non-response in surveys through weighting," Crime & Delinquency 61:1 pp. 143-158
  • Tracy, P.E., Carkin, D.M. (2014) "Adjusting for design effects in disproportionate stratified sampling designs through weighting," Crime & Delinquency 60:2 pp. 306-325
  • Tracy, P.E. (2014) "Methodology and statistical analysis symposium," Crime & Delinquency 60:1 pp. 143-144
  • Tracy, P.E. (2012) "Terrorism Research in Criminology: Current Topics and Future Prospects," Crime & Delinquency 58:5 pp. 647
  • Kempf-Leonard, K., Tracy, P.E., Howell, J.C. (2001) "Serious, violent, and chronic juvenile offenders: The relationship of delinquency career types to adult criminality," Justice Quarterly 18:3 pp. 449-478
  • Tracy, P.E., Morgan, V. (2000) "Big Brother and his science kit: DNA databases for 21st century crime control?," The Journal of Criminal Law and Criminology (1973-) 90:2 pp. 635-690
  • Tracy, P.E., Kempf-Leonard, K. (1996) "Continuity and discontinuity in criminal careers,"
  • Tracy, P.E., Wolfgang, M.E., Figlio, R.M. (1990) "Delinquency careers in two birth cohorts,"
  • Tracy, P.E., Wolfgang, M.E., Figlio, R.M. (1985) "Delinquency in two birth cohorts: Executive summary,"
  • Wolfgang, M.E., Figlio, R.M., Tracy, P.E., Singer, S.I. (1985) "The national survey of crime severity,"

Presentations

  • The Demography of Crime Analysis. - Annual Meeting of the International Association of Crime Analysts, 2003
  • Using Inferential Statistics in Analyzing Crime Trends. - Annual Meeting of the International Association of Crime Analysts, 2003
  • The Social Ecology of Violent Juvenile Crime" - Annual Meeting of the American Society of Criminology, 2002
  • "Strategic Crime Analysis: The Case of Juvenile Gangs." - Annual Meeting of the International Association of Crime Analysts, 1993., 1993
  • "Youth at Risk: The Family, Neighborhood, and School Correlates of Youth Violence." - University of Texas - Dallas Community Involvement Public Policy Seminars, 1993
  • "Future Trends in Juvenile Crime and How the Justice System Should Respond." - Law Related Education Workshop, Boston College Law School, 1989
  • "Rehabilitating the Chronic Juvenile Offender." - Law Related Education Workshop, Boston College Law School., 1988
  • "Controlled Substance Analogues: What Are They, Where Are They, and What is Being Done to Control Them?" - Second International Conference on Drug Policy Reform, 1988
  • "Trends and Correlates of Juvenile Homicide." - Annual Meeting of the American Society of Criminology., 1987
  • "Problems and Prospects in Identifying and Treating the Chronic Juvenile Offender." - Annual Meeting of the Oregon Juvenile Court Judges Association, 1987
  • "The Development of Juvenile Criminal Careers." - Annual Meeting of the National Council of Juvenile and Family Court Judges, 1986
  • "The Status of Federal Delinquency Statistics." - Special National Workshop on Youth, 1986
  • "The Criminal Career: Making the Transition from Delinquency to Crime." - Annual Meeting of the American Society of Criminology, 1985
  • "Innovative Strategies for Treating the Chronic Juvenile Offender." - Special National Workshop on Youth, 1985
  • "Prediction Problems and Legal Dilemmas in Juvenile Recidivism." - Annual Meeting of the American Society of Criminology, 1984
  • "Predicting Chronic and Violent Criminal Behavior: A Longitudinal Approach." - Annual Meeting of the American Society of Criminology, 1983
  • "Gang Membership and Violent Offending: Results from the 1958 Birth Cohort Study." - Annual Meeting of the American Society of Criminology, 1982
  • Chronic Recidivism in the 1958 Birth Cohort." - Annual Meeting of the American Society of Criminology., 1982
  • "The 1945 and 1958 Birth Cohorts: A Comparison of the Prevalence, Incidence, and Severity of Delinquent Behavior." - Special Workshop on the Chronic Juvenile Offender, 1982
  • "The 1945 and 1958 Birth Cohorts: A Comparison of the Prevalence, Incidence, and Severity of Delinquent Behavior." - Testimony given before the United States Senate Committee on the Judiciary, Subcommittee on Juvenile Justice, Hearings on Violent Juvenile Crime., 1982
  • "Delinquency in a Birth Cohort II: Some Preliminary Findings." - Testimony given before the United States Senate Committee on Judiciary, Subcommittee on Juvenile Justine, Hearings on Violent Juvenile Crime, 1981
  • "The Failure of the Rehabilitative Ideal and the Rise of the Just Desserts Model of Sentencing." - Annual Meeting of the Berks County (PA) Prison Society, 1980
  • "A Field-Validation of a Quantitative Randomized Response Model." - Annual Meeting of the Operations Research Society of America, 1980
  • "The Validity of Sensitive Measurements: A Comparison of the Randomized Response and Direct Question Methods." - Special National Workshop on Research Methodology and Criminal Justice Program Evaluation, 1980
  • "Official and Self-Reported Offense Correlates of Gang Membership." - Annual Meeting of the American Society of Criminology, 1979
  • "Validating the Randomized Response Technique." - Seminar Series on Advances in Criminal Justice Research and Evaluation Methods, 1979
  • "A Field-Validation of the Quantitative Randomized Response Approach." - The Annual Meeting of the American Society of Criminology, 1979
  • "A Review of Randomized Response Models." - The Annual Meeting of the American Society of Criminology, 1978