Poll: Trump Holds 16-Point Lead over Haley in Republican N.H. Primary Race

Montage of state of NH map, the Presidential Range, a welcome to NH sign and people standing in line

UMass Lowell’s Center for Public Opinion conducted a survey from Jan. 6-16, 2024 of 600 likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters regarding the upcoming presidential election and the gubernatorial race in New Hampshire.

Key Findings:

  • 50% of respondents endorse  former President Donald Trump as the state GOP’s nominee, while 34% support former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley.
  • When asked whether Trump or Biden legitimately won the 2020 election, 56% replied Trump was probably (24%) or definitely (32%) the winner, including 64% of self-identified Republicans in the sample.
  • The poll also surveyed voters’ opinions on the Granite State race for governor finding former U.S. Sen. Kelly Ayotte leads former N.H. Senate President Chuck Morse in a potential Republican primary race by 32 points, 54% to 22%.